Plamen V Nikolov


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  • My Lab: Development Econ Research
    • My Research Lab (Members & Alumni)     
    • Join my Lab! (No Current Vacancies)

  • Peer-Reviewed Publications (Economics)
    1. One Step at a Time: Does Gradualism Build Coordination? (with M. Ye, J. Zheng, and Sam Asher). 2019. Management Science (Behavioral Economics section) 66(1):113-29. doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2018.3210. [Published Paper] [Copy] [Cite Record/BibTeX][PDF of Preprint] AEA RCT Entry. Non-technical Summary

    2. Vocational Training Programs and Youth Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Nepal. (The lead & corresponding author for this study; with S. Chakravarty, M. Lundberg, and J. Zener). 2019. Journal of Development Economics 136(1):71-110. doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2018.09.002. [Published Paper] [Copy] [Cite Record/BibTeX] [PDF of Preprint] AEA RCT Entry Non-technical Summary

    3. Do Public Program Benefits Crowd Out Private Transfers in Developing Countries? A Critical Review of Recent Evidence. (The lead author; with M. Bonci). 2020. World Development 134(October):104967. doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.104967. [Published Paper] [Copy] [Cite Record/BibTeX][PDF of Preprint] Non-technical Summary

    4. The Importance of Cognitive Domains and the Returns to Schooling in South Africa: Evidence from Two Labor Surveys (The lead author; with N. Jimi). 2020. Labour Economics 65(August), 101849. doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2020.101849. [Published Paper] [Copy] [Cite Record/BibTeX][PDF of Preprint] Non-technical Summary

    5. Risk Compensation and HIV Therapy: A Field Experiment in South Africa. 2022. Journal of Development Studies 58(9): 1711-1731. doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2022.2075732.[Published Paper] [Cite Record/BibTeX] Non-technical summary Old Slides

    6. Do Pension Benefits Accelerate Cognitive Decline in Late Adulthood? Evidence from Rural China. (with S. Hossain). 2023. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization. 205(2023): 594-617. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2022.11.025. [Published Paper] [Copy] [Cite Record/BibTeX] [PDF of Preprint] Non-technical Summary [Press Release].

    7. Short-Run Health Consequences of Retirement and Pension Benefits: Evidence from China (The lead author; with A. Adelman). 2019. Forum for Health Economics & Policy 21(2):1-27. 20170031, eISSN 1558-9544. doi.org/10.1515/fhep-2017-0031.[Published Paper] [Copy] [Cite Record/BibTeX] [PDF of Preprint] Non-technical Summary

    8. Do Private Household Transfers to the Elderly Respond to Public Pension Benefits? Evidence from Rural China (The lead author; with A. Adelman). 2019. The Journal of the Economics of Ageing 14C(Fall):100204. doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2019.100204.[Published Paper][Copy] [Cite Record/BibTeX][PDF of Preprint] Non-technical Summary

    9. Productivity Effect of Credit Access for Microenterprises in Bangladesh: Separating Technical Change from Technical Efficiency Change (Corresponding author; with N. Jimi, S. Kumbhakar and M. Malek). 2019. JPA 52(2019):37-55. doi.org/10.1007/s11123-019-00555-8. [Published Paper] [Copy] [Cite Record/BibTeX] [PDF of Preprint] AEA RCT Entry. Non-technical Summary

    10. What Factors Drive Individual Misperceptions of the Returns to Schooling in Tanzania? Some Lessons for Education Policy (The lead author; with N. Jimi). 2018. Applied Economics 50(44):4705-4723. doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466991. [Published Paper] [Copy] [Cite Record/BibTeX][PDF of Preprint] Non-technical Summary

    11. Time Delay and Investment Decisions: A Field Experiment in Tanzania. Economics Bulletin, 38(2): 1124-1137. arXiv:2006.02143v2. [Cite Record/BibTeX][PDF of Preprint] AEA RCT Entry Non-technical Summary

  • Papers in Revise and Resubmit Status

  • Working Papers & Ongoing Projects
    • Entitled to Property: How Breaking the Gender Barrier Improves Child Health in India (with S. Hossain) Division of Social and Economic Sciences, Economics Program [PDF of Preprint] (Under Review)

    • Unpacking the Economic Consquences of Pension Plans: Do Defined Contribution Pensions Lower Labor Supply in Rural China (with X. Wang) (Under Review) Slides

    • Does Human Capital Accumulation Induce Microenterprise Formalization and Transformative Entrepreneurship? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design in South Asia. (Under review) AEA RCT Entry.

    • Reaping the Rewards Later: How Education Improves Old-Age Cognition in South Africa. (with S. Yeh) (Under Review) [PDF of Preprint]

    • The Labor Market Impacts of Syrian Refugees in the E.U. (with Matthew Bonci, S. Hossain, L.Salarpour) (In preparation for submission)

    • Credit Constraints and Female Empowerment Outcomes within the Household: Field Experiment in Bangladesh (NSF funded; Division of Social and Economic Sciences, Economics Program; Data collection field activities on hold due to COVID-19). NSF Blurb. AEA RCT Entry.

    • How Does Education Affect Cognitive Formation in Early Life in Developing Countries? (with S. Yeh) (In preparation for submission)

    • Better Late than Early: Human Capital and Female Aspirations Regarding Marital Timing in Nepal. (Under Revisions)

    • Skill Downgrading among Economic Immigrants and Refugee Migrants in the E.U. (with David Titus & L. Salarpour) (In preparation for submission) [PDF of Preprint]

    • Labor Supply of Prime-aged Adults in the Presence of Pensioners in Households: Longitudinal Evidence from China. (with S. Hossain) (In preparation for submission)

    • Female Economic Empowerment and Domestic Violence in Nepal. (Under Review)

    • Retirement Benefits and Crowd-out in Personal Savings Accounts: Evidence from China (Manuscript preparation)

    • Does Scarcity Influence Productivity and Optimizing Behavior? (with P. Liang, Stanford GSB) (Lab Experimental Project, Data collection completed) AEA RCT Entry.

      Scarcity induces a distinct psychological response, affecting how individuals make decisions to achieve optimal results. It is crucial to note that scarcity is not solely related to financial constraints; it can also pertain to limitations in time, focus, or attention span. Through an artefactual field experiment, I examine the effects of exogenously altering available time on individual productivity and optimization abilities.

    • Micronutrient Deficiency and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Tanzania

    • The Role of Heuristics and Perception in Influencing Individuals' Demand for Social Distancing in the Context of COVID-19 (Field Experimental Project) AEA RCT Entry

    • Predictors of Social Distancing and Mask-Wearing Behavior: Panel Survey in Seven U.S. States (Principal Investigator, Secondary Analysis of Existing Data from a Field Experiment in the U.S.) [PDF of Preprint] Non-technical Summary

    • The Contribution of Health in Utero to Capacity Formation, Education, and Economic Outcomes: Experimental Evidence from Tanzania (Data collected) AEA RCT Entry

    • Empirical Estimates of Risk Preferences and Time Preferences in Low-income Countries (Field Experimental Project, Data collection completed) AEA RCT Entry.

    Other Peer-Reviewed Publications

    • The Wage Premium of Communist Party Affiliation in China (The lead author; with H. Wang and K. Acker). ) [PDF of Preprint]

    • Chakravarty, S., M. Lundberg, Plamen Nikolov, and J.Zenker. The role of training programs for youth employment in Nepal. (2016). The World Bank, Policy Research Paper WPS7656. [PDF of Paper]

    • Nikolov, Plamen. "The AIDS Epidemic and Its Economic Roots." (2009). Harvard Health Policy Review 10(1): 21-25. [PDF of Paper]

    • Nikolov, Plamen. "Justice and Allocation in International Health Aid Is The Economic Justification Rational?" (2007). Johns Hopkins SAIS Perspectives 6(Spring): 17-19. [PDF of Paper]

    • Dall, Tim, Plamen Nikolov, and Paul Hogan. "Economic Costs of Diabetes in the U.S. in 2002" (2003). Diabetes Care 26(3): 917-932. [PDF of Paper]




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