Franklin AllenNATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH CONFERENCE ON THE RISKS OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS René Stulz and Mark Carey, Organizers Woodstock, Vermont, October 22-23, 2004. Program Thursday, October 21 7:00 p.m.Dinner, The Woodstock Inn Friday, October 22 8:30 a.m.Continental Breakfast Systemic Risk and Regulation I 9:00 a.m.Systemic Risk and Regulation Professor Franklin Allen, University of Pennsylvania Professor Douglas M. Gale, New York University Discussant: Charles Calomiris, Columbia University and NBER 9:55 a.m.Break 10:05 a.m.Systemic Risk and Hedge Fund Transparency Professor Andrew Lo, MIT Professor Mila Getmansky, University of Massachusetts, Amherst Discussant: David Modest, Azimuth Trust Company, LLC 11:00 a.m.Pillar I vs. Pillar II under Risk Management Professor Stephen Schaefer, London Business School Professor Loriana Pelizzon, Universita Degli Studi Di Padova Discussant: Marc Saidenberg, Federal Reserve Bank of New York 11:55 a.m.Lunch Risk Modeling I 12:55 p.m.Empirical Evidence on Bank Trading Risk and Systemic Risk Professor Philippe Jorion, UC, Irvine Discussants: Paul Kupiec, FDIC; Ken Abbott, Bank of America Securities 1:50 p.m.Banking Trading Revenues, VaR, and Market Risk Professor Jeremy Berkowitz, University of Houston Dr. James O’Brien, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Discussants: Paul Kupiec, FDIC; Ken Abbott, Bank of America Securities 2:45 p.m.Break Instruments and Incentives 3:00 p.m.Managing Balance-Sheet Leverage and Liquidity Professor Darrell Duffie, Stanford University Chenyang Wang, Stanford University Discussant: Hayne Leland, UC, Berkeley 3:55 p.m.Banks and Off-Balance Sheet Vehicles Professor Gary B Gorton, University of Pennsylvania Professor Nicholas Souleles, University of Pennsylvania Discussant: Peter Tufano, Harvard University 4:50 p.m.Securitization Professor Jan P Krahnen, Johann Wolfgang Goethe- University Professor Guenter Franke, University of Konstanz Discussant: Mark Levonian, Comptroller of the Currency 7:00 p.m.Dinner Saturday, October 23 8:30 a.m.Continental Breakfast Systemic Risk and Regulation II 9:00 a.m.Banks’ Exposure to Pervasive Liquidity Shocks Professor Philip Strahan, Boston College Professor Evan Gatev, Boston College Discussant: Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago 9:55 a.m.Break 10:05 a.m.Bank Concentration and Fragility: Impact and Mechanics Dr. Asli Demirguc-Kunt, World Bank Professor Ross Levine, University of Minnesota Dr. Thorsten Beck, World Bank Discussant: Peter Garber, Deutsche Bank 11:00 a.m.Banking System Stability: A Cross-Atlantic Perspective Based on Extreme Value Analysis Dr. Philipp Hartmann, European Central Bank Professor Stefan Straetmans, Maastricht University Professor Casper de Vries, Erasmus University Rotterdam Discussant: Anthony Saunders, NYU 11:55 a.m.Lunch Risk Modeling II 12:55 p.m.Volatility and Correlation Modeling in Market Risk Management: Pitfalls and Opportunities Professor Torben Andersen, Northwestern University Professor Tim Bollerslev, Duke University Professor Francis X. Diebold, University of Pennsylvania Professor Peter Christoffersen, McGill University Discussant: Pedro Santa-Clara, UC, Los Angeles 1:50 p.m.Break 2:00 p.m.Scope for Credit Risk Diversification Across Sectors and regions Professor M. Hashem Pesaran, University of Cambridge Dr. Til Schuermann, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Dr. Björn-Jakob Treutler, Mercer Oliver Wyman Discussant: Richard Cantor, Moody’s Investors Service 2:55 p.m.Implications of Alternative Operational Risk Modeling Techniques Dr. Patrick de Fontnouvelle, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Dr. Eric S. Rosengren, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Dr. John S. Jordan, Fitch Risk Discussant: Andrew Kuritzkes, Mercer Oliver Wyman 3:50 p.m.Conclusion 4:00 p.m.Adjourn 9/28/04