National Bureau of Economic Research

Summer Institute 2003

Master Agenda

 

 

 

MONDAY, JULY 14

 

9:00 AM

IASE

FERNANDO BRONER, University of Maryland
GUIDO LORENZONI, Princeton University
SERGIO SCHMUKLER, The World Bank
Why Do Emerging Markets Borrow Short Term?

 

9:00 AM

DAE

BEN CHABOT, University of Michigan and NBER

CHRISTOPHER KURZ, University of Michigan

That’s Where the Money Was:

Home Bias and English Investments Abroad

 

10:00 AM

IASE

GASTON GELOS, International Monetary Fund

SHANG-JIN WEI, International Monetary Fund and NBER

Transparency and International Investor Behavior

 

10:00 AM

DAE

LANCE DAVIS, California Institute of Technology and NBER

LARRY NEAL, University of Illinois and NBER

EUGENE WHITE, Rutgers University and NBER

The Highest Price Ever: The Great NYSE Seat Sale, 1928-1929

 

11:00 AM

IASE

MICHAEL KREMER, Harvard University and NBER

SEEMA JAYACHANDRAN, Harvard University

Odious Debt

 

11:00 AM

DAE

RAJEEV DEHEJIA, Columbia University and NBER

ADRIANA LLERAS-MUNEY, Princeton University and NBER

Why Does Financial Development Matter?

The United States from 1900 to 1940

 

1:00 PM

ME

LAURENCE BALL, Johns Hopkins University and NBER

N. GREGORY MANKIW, Harvard University and NBER

RICARDO REIS, Harvard University

Monetary Policy in Inattentive Economies

 

1:30 PM

IASE

MARCIO GARCIA, Stanford University

ALEXANDRE LOWENKRON, PUC-Rio

Cousin Risks: The Extent and the Causes of Positive Correlation between Country and Currency Risks

 

1:30 PM

DAE

JILL DUPREE, College of the Holy Cross

Financial Failure?  The Real Returns to the Blackstone Canal

 

2:15 PM

ME

DANIEL LEVY, Bar-Ilan University          

ANDREW T. YOUNG, Emory University

The Real Thing:  Nominal Price Rigidity of the Nickel Coke, 1886-1959

 

2:20 PM

IASE

JUAN CARLOS ECHEVERRY, Universidad de los Andes

ROBERTO STEINER, International Monetary Fund

LEOPOLDO FERGUSSON, Universidad de los Andes

Determinants and Consequences of Foreign Indebtedness In Colombian Firms

 

2:30 PM

DAE

JEREMY ATACK, Vanderbilt University and NBER

FRED BATEMAN, University of Georgia

ROBERT MARGO, Vanderbilt University and NBER

Capital Deepening in American Manufacturing, 1850-1880

 

3:20 PM

IASE

FREDERICO STURZENEGGER, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

Default Episodes in the 90's: Factbook, Toolkit and Preliminary Lesson

 

4:10 PM

IASE

LAURA ALFARO, Harvard University

FABIO KANCZUK, University of São Paolo

Sovereign Debt with Adverse Selection: A Quantitative Approach

 

 

TUESDAY JULY 15

 

9:00 AM

IFM

JON FAUST, JOHN ROGERS, WANG SHING-YI and JONATHAN WRIGHT,

Federal Reserve Board

The High-Frequency Response of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates to Macroeconomic Announcements:

 

9:00 AM

DAE

WERNER TROESKEN, University of Pittsburgh and NBER

Lead Water Pipes and Infant Mortality in Turn-of-the-Century Massachusetts

 

9:00 AM

EFWW

XIAOHONG CHEN, New York University

SYDNEY C. LUDVIGSON, New York University and NBER

Land of Addicts? An Empirical Investigation of Habit-Based Asset Pricing Models

 

10:00 AM

DAE

MICHAEL HAINES, Colgate University and NBER

MYRON GUTTMANN, University of Michigan

Fertility of the Hispanic Population in the United States in Historical Perspective: Evidence from the 1910 Census

 

10:15 AM

IFM

YIN- WONG CHEUNG, UC, Santa Cruz

MENZIE D. CHINN, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER

ANTONIO GARCIA PASCUAL, International Monetary Fund

Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?

 

10:15 AM

EFWW

PETER CHRISTOFFERSEN, McGill University

FRANCIS DIEBOLD, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

Financial Asset Returns, Market Timing, and Volatility Dynamics

 

11:00 AM

DAE

SUSAN B. CARTER and ROGER RANSOM, UC, Riverside

RICHARD SUTCH, UC, Riverside and NBER

Family Matters: The Life-Cycle Transition and the Fertility Decline in Antebellum America

 

11:30 AM

IFM

GUILLERMO CALVO, University of Maryland and NBER

MICHAEL KUMHOF, Stanford University

Trade Openness And Exchange Rate Misalignments

 

11:30 AM

EFWW

ALEXI ONATSKI, Columbia University

NOAH WILLIAMS, Princeton University and NBER

Modeling Model Uncertainty

 

1:00 PM

ME

STEPHEN R. BOND, Oxford University

JASON G. CUMMINS, Federal Reserve Board

Uncertainty and Company Investment:  An Empirical Investigation Using Data on Analysts’ Profits Forecasts

 

1:30 PM

DAE

LEE ALSTON, University of Colorado and NBER

JOSEPH FERRIE, Northwestern University and NBER

Climbing the Agricultural Ladder: Horatio Alger and Having the Right Parents

 

2:15 PM

ME

JEFFREY C. FUHRER, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

GLENN D. RUDEBUSCH, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Estimating the Euler Equation for Output

 

2:30 PM

DAE

WILLIAM COLLINS and ROBERT MARGO, Vanderbilt University and NBER

The Economic Effects of the 1960's Riots:  Some Preliminary Findings

 

 

WEDNESDAY, JULY 16

 

9:00 AM

IFM

PHILLIP LANE, Trinity College, Dublin

GIAN-MARIA MILESI-FERETTI , International Monetary Fund

International Financial Integration

 

9:00 AM

EFWW

EDWARD LEAMER, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

SIMON POTTER, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle

 

9:00 AM

DAE

DOUGLAS IRWIN,  Dartmouth University and NBER

JOSEPH DAVIS, Vanguard Investments

Trade Disruptions and Early American Industrialization

 

10:00 AM

DAE

JAMES SCHMITZ, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Nineteenth Century U. S. Economic Growth: How Important was the Transportation Revolution?

 

10:15 AM

IFM

KRISTIN FORBES, MIT and NBER

One Cost of Chilean Capital Controls: Increased Financial Constraints for Smaller Traded Firms

 

10:15 AM

EFWW

CHANG-JIN KIM, Korea University

JEREMY PIGER, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

RICHARD STARTZ, University of Washington

Estimation of Markov Regime-Switching Regression Models with Endogenous Switching

 

11:00 AM

DAE

DANIEL BERKOWITZ, University of Pittsburgh

KAREN CLAY, Carnegie Mellon University

Initial Conditions, Institutional Dynamics, and Performance: Evidence from the American States

 

11:30 AM

IFM

LAURA ALFARO, Harvard University

SEBNEM KALEMLI- OZCAN and VADYM VOLOSOVYCH, University of Houston

Why Doesn’t Capital Flow from Rich Countries to Poor Countries? An Empirical Investigation

 

11:30 AM

EFWW

SOPHOCLES MAVROEIDIS, University of Amsterdam

Identification and Mis-specification Issues in Forward Looking Models

 

1:OO PM

ME

BEN S. BERNANKE, Federal Reserve Board

KENNETH N. KUTTNER, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

What Explains the Stock Market’s Reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?

 

1:30 PM

DAE

PRICE FISHBACK, University of Arizona and NBER

REBECCA HOLMES, University of Arizona

The Impact of State Labor Regulations on Manufacturing Input Demands during the Progressive Era

 

2:15 PM

ME

REFET S. GURKAYNAK, BRIAN SACK and ERIC SWANSON, Federal Reserve Board

The Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates:  Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models

 

2:30 PM

DAE

CLAYNE POPE, Brigham Young University and NBER

Measuring the Distribution of Well-Being

 

 

THURSDAY, JULY 17

 

9:00 AM

IFM

ANDREW HALDANE, ADRIAN PENALVER and VICTORIA SAPORTA, Bank of England

HYUN SONG SHIN, London of School of Economics

Analytics of Sovereign Debt Restructuring

 

9:00 AM

EFWW

PETER HANSEN, Brown University

Regression Analysis with Many Specifications: A Bootstrap Method for Robust Inference

 

9:00 AM

DAE

SHAWN COLE, MIT

Capitalism and Freedom:Slavery and Manumission in Louisiana, 1770-1820

 

10:00 AM

AP

M. FATIH GUVENEN, University of Rochester

A Parsimonious Macroeconomic Model for Asset Pricing:  Habit Formation or Cross-Sectional Heterogeneity

 

10:00 AM

DAE

LISA COOK, Stanford University

Responses in Technical Change to Uncertainty: Evidence from Patenting Activity Among African Americans; 1821-1919

 

10:15 AM

IFM

JOSEPH JOYCE, Wellesley College

Promises Made, Promises Broken: A Model of IMF Program Implementation

 

10:15 AM

EFWW

MICHAEL JANSSON, UC, Berkeley

MARCELO MOREIRA, Harvard University

Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors

 

11:00 AM

AP

LU ZHANG and RALITSA PETKOVA, University of Rochester

Is Value Riskier than Growth?

 

11:00 AM

DAE

KEN SOKOLOFF, MAGGIE LEVENSTEIN and NAOMI LAMOREAUX,

UC, Los Angeles and NBER

The Organization and Financing of Invention in Cleveland, 1890-1920

 

11:15 AM

IFM

GALINA HALE, Yale University

Bonds or Loans? The Effect of Macroeconomic Fundamentals

 

11:30 AM

EFWW

DAVID N. DEJONG, ROMAN LISENFELD and JEAN-FRANCOIS RICHARD, University of Pittsburgh

A Structural Break in U.S. GDP?

 

1:00 PM

ME

Discussion with Ben S. Bernanke, Federal Reserve Board

 

1:00 PM

AP

JONATHAN PARKER, Princeton University and NBER

CHRISTIAN JULLIARD, Princeton University

Consumption Risk and Cross-Sectional Returns

 

2:00 PM

AP

JONATHAN LEWELLEN, MIT and NBER

STEFAN NAGEL, London Business School

The Conditional CAPM Does Not Explain Asset-Pricing Anomalies

 

2:15 PM

ME

VALERY A. RAMEY, UC, San Diego and NBER

DANIEL J. VINE, UC, San Diego

Tracking the Source of the Decline in GDP Volatility:  An Analysis of the Automobile Industry

 

3:15 PM

AP

BLAKE LEBARON, Brandeis University and NBER

Calibrating an Agent-Based Financial Market

 

 

FRIDAY, JULY 18

 

9:00 AM

EFWW

JAN J.J. GROEN, Bank of England

Exchange Rate Predictability and Monetary Fundamentals in a Small Multi-Country Panel

 

9:00 AM

AP

ROBERT NOVY-MARX, UC, Berkeley

An Equilibrium Model of Investment Under Uncertainty

 

9:00 AM

EFJK

RODOLFO E. MANUELLI, University of Wisconsin and NBER

ANANTH SESHADRI, University of Wisconsin

Frictionless Technology Diffusion: The Case of Tractors

 

9:30 AM

IFM

ANNA PAVLOVA, MIT

ROBERTO RIGOBON, MIT and NBER

Asset Prices and Exchange Rates

 

10:15 AM

EFWW

NELSON MARK, Ohio State University and NBER

MASAO OGAKI, Ohio State University

DONGGYU SUL, University of Auckland

Dynamic Seemingly Unrelated Cointegrating Regression

 

10:15 AM

AP

HANNO LUSTIG, University of Chicago

STIJN VAN NIEUWERBURGH, Stanford University

Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia

 

10:15 AM

EFJK

DIEGO RESTUCCIA, University of Toronto

RICHARD ROGERSON, Arizona State University and NBER

Policy Distortions and Aggregate Productivity with Heterogeneous Plants

 

11:00 AM

IFM

MARTIN EVANS, Georgetown University and NBER

RICHARD LYONS, UC, Berkeley and NBER

A New Micro Model of Exchange Rate Dynamics

 

11:15 AM

AP

MASSIMO MASSA, INSEAD

ANDREI SIMONOV, Stockholm School of Economics

Hedging, Stock Market Performance and Portfolio Choice

 

11:15 AM

EFJK

DIEGO COMIN, New York University

BART HOBIJN, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Cross-Country Technology Adoption: Making the Theories Face the Facts

 

11:30 AM

EFWW

BEN S. BERNANKE, Federal Reserve Board

JEAN BOIVIN, Columbia University and NBER

PIOTR ELIASZ, Princeton University

Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy:  A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach

 

1:00 PM

ME

MAURICE OBSTFELD and ALAN J. AUERBACH, UC, Berkeley and NBER

The Case for Open-Market Purchases in a Liquidity Trap

 

1:15 PM

AP

STEVE KAPLAN, University of Chicago and NBER

ANTOINETTE SCHOAR, MIT

Private Equity Performance:  Returns, Persistence and Capital Flows

 

1:15 PM

EFJK

PIERRE-OLIVIER GOURINCHAS, Princeton University and NBER

OLIVIER JEANNE, International Monetary Fund

The Elusive Gains from International Financial Integration

 

2:15 PM

ME

GAUTI EGGERTSSON, International Monetary Fund

MICHAEL WOODFORD, Princeton University and NBER

The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy

 

2:15 PM

AP

JOHN CAMPBELL, Harvard University and NBER

MOTOHIRO YOGO, Harvard University

Efficient Tests of Stock Return Predictability

 

2:15 PM

EFJK

ESTEBAN ROSSI-HANSBERG and MARK WRIGHT, Stanford University

Urban Structure and Growth

 

3:30 PM

EFJK

FRANK R. LICHTENBERG, Columbia University and NBER

The Impact of New Drug Launches on Longevity: Evidence from Longitudinal, Disease-Level Data from 52 Countries, 1982-2001

 

 

SATURDAY, JULY 19

 

9:00 AM

EFG

LAURA VELDKAMP, INSEAD

Media Frenzies in Markets for Financial Information

 

9:00 AM

MM

ANDREW ELLUL, CRAIG W. HOLDEN, and

ROBERT JENNINGS, Indiana University

PANKAJ JAIN, University of Memphis

Determinants of Order Choice on the New York Stock Exchange

 

10:00 AM

MM

HENDRIK BESSEMBINDER, University of Utah

Selection Biases and Cross-Market Trading Cost Comparisons

 

10:30 AM

EFG

MARKUS BRUNNERMEIER, Princeton University

JONATHAN PARKER, Princeton University and NBER

Optimal Expectations

 

11:15 AM

MM

CHARLES M. JONES, Columbia University

MARC L. LIPSON, University of Georgia

Why NYSE Retail Order Get Better (Yes, Better) Executions

 

11:30 AM

EFG

FATIH GUVENEN, University of Rochester

A Parsimonious Macroeconomic Model for Asset Pricing:

Habit Formation or Cross-Sectional Heterogeneity?

 

1:30 PM

EFG

CHANG-TAI HSIEH, Princeton University and NBER

PETER KLENOW, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and NBER

Relative Prices and Relative Prosperity

 

1:30 PM

MM

ANANTH MADHAVAN, Investment Technology Group, Inc.

LESLIE M. MARX, Duke University

VENKATESH PANCHAPAGESAN, Nasdaq Stock Market

Relationship Markets and the Decision to Go Public

 

2:30 PM

MM

CHARLES CAO, OLIVER HANSCH and XIAOXIN WANG, Pennsylvania State University

The Informational Content of an Open Limit Order Book

 

3:00 PM

EFG

ROBERT HALL, Stanford University and NBER

Wage Determination and Employment Fluctuations

 

3:45 PM

MM

HANS G. HEIDLE, University of Notre Dame

XI LI, University of Miami

Is there Evidence of Front-Running Before Analyst Recommendations?  An Analysis of the Quoting Behavior of Nasdaq Market Makers

 

4:00 PM

EFG

OLIVIER BLANCHARD, MIT and NBER

THOMAS PHILIPPON, MIT

The Decline of Rents, and the Rise and Fall of European Unemployment

 

 

MONDAY, JULY 21

 

9:00 AM

EFCE

BOYAN JOVANOVIC, New York University and NBER

Asymmetric Cycles

 

9:00 AM

EFBDG

FRANCESCO CASELLI, Harvard University and NBER

NICOLA GENNAIOLI, Harvard University

Dynastic Management

 

9:00 AM

PRIPE

MARGARET KYLE, Carnegie-Mellon University

Pharmaceutical Price Controls and Entry Strategies

 

10:00 AM

PRIPE

PIERRE AZOULAY, Columbia University

Medical Progress and Health Care Financing: Research in Academic Medical Centers Following the 1997 Medicare Cuts

 

10:15 AM

EFCE

GAREY RAMEY, UC, San Diego

Financial Intermediation in a Restructuring Economy

 

10:15 AM

EFBDG

LUIS GARICANO, University of Chicago

ESTEBAN ROSSI-HANSBERG, Stanford Univeristy

Organization and Inequality in a Knowledge Economy

 

11:15 AM

PRIPE

RICHARD NELSON, Columbia University

The Market Economy and the Scientific Commons

 

11:30 AM

EFCE

CHRISTIAN HELLWIG, UC, Los Angeles

Public Announcements, Adjustment Delays and the Business Cycle

 

11:30 AM

EFBDG

LEX BORGHANS and BAS TER WEEL, University of Maastricht

The Diffusion of Computers and the Distrubution of Wages

 

1:00 PM

EFRW

ROBERT HALL, Stanford University and NBER

Wage Determination and Employment Fluctuations

 

1:00 PM

EFACR

SUMIT AGARWAL and CHUNLIN LIU, FleetBoston Financial

DAVID JOHNSON, Bureau of Labor Statistics

JONATHAN PARKER, Princeton University and NBER

NICHOLAS SOULELES, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

The Response of Consumer Spending and Debt to Tax Rebates: Evidence from the CEX and the Household Credit Accounts

 

1:00 PM

EFEL

ALBERTO ALESINA, Harvard University and NBER

SILVIA ARDAGNA, Wellesley College

GIUSEPPE NICOLETTI, OECD

FABIO SCHIANTARELLI, Boston College

Regulation and Investment

 

1:15 PM

PRIPE

LISA COOK, Stanford University

Responses to Changes in Uncertainty: Evidence from Patenting Activity among African Americans

 

1:55 PM

EFEL

SIMON GILCHRIST, Boston University and NBER

MARC RYSMAN, Boston University

Trade Liberalization and Lumpy Investment: Evidence from Chilean Plan-Level Data

 

2:00 PM

EFRW

CHRIS PISSARIDES, London School of Economics

Productivity Growth and Employment: Theory and Panel Estimates

 

2:15 PM

EFACR

DAVID DOMEIJ and MAGNUS JOHANNESSON, Stockholm School of Economics

Consumption and Health

 

2:30 PM

PRIPE

MICHAEL WHINSTON, Northwestern University and NBER

Antitrust Policy in Innovative Industries

 

3:05 PM

EFEL

FRANCISCO GOMES, London Business School

ALEXANDER MICHAELIDIS, London School of Economics

VALERY POLKOVNICHENKO, University of Minnesota

Life Cycle Portfolio Choice with Taxable and Tax Deferred Accounts

 

3:15 PM

EFRW

RASMUS LENTZ, Boston University

DALE MORTENSEN, Northwestern University

Firm Productivity, Wages, Worker Flows and Size

 

3:15 PM

EFACR

CLARE KELLY, University of Warwick

LANOT GAUTHIER, Keele University

Consumption Patterns Over Pay Periods

 

3:45 PM

PRIPE

Panel Discussion:

Where is the “New Economy” Today?

 

4:15 PM

EFRW

ROBERT SHIMER, University of Chicago and NBER

IVAN WERNING, MIT and NBER

Does UI Insure the Unemployed?

 

4:15 PM

EFEL

HUGO HOPENHAYN, University of Rochester

Risk Taking by Entrepreneurs

 

 

TUESDAY, JULY 22

 

9:00 AM

EFCE

DIEGO COMIN, New York University

MARK GERTLER, New York University and NBER

Medium Term Business Cycles

 

9:00 AM

EFBDG

ODED GALOR, Brown University

ANDREW MOUNTFORD, University of London

Trade, Demography and the Great Divergence

 

9:00 AM

PRL

YI QIAN, Harvard University

Do Additional National Patent Laws Stimulate Domestic Innovation in a Global Patenting Environment?

 

LEE BRANSTETTER and RAY FISMAN, Columbia University and NBER

C. FRITZ FOLEY, University of Michigan

Do Stronger Intellectual Property Rights Increase International Technology Transfer?  Empirical Evidence from U.S. Firm-Level Panel Data

 

10:15 AM

EFCE

FABIO NATALUCCI, ANDREW LEVIN and EGON ZAKRAJSEK, Federal Reserve Board

Evaluating the Non-Linearity of the Financial Accelerator

 

10:15 AM

EFBDG

JOHN MCLAREN, University of Virginia and NBER

ANDREW NEWMAN, University College London

Globalization and Insecurity

 

11:00 AM

PRL

MARK A. LEMLEY, UC, Berkeley

Ex Ante versus Ex Post Justifications for Intellectual Property

 

LAWRENCE SUNG, University of Maryland

Two Out of Three Ain't Bad?:  Dissents and Concurrences in Patent Law Decisions of U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit

 

11:30 AM

EFCE

GAUTI EGGERTSSON, International Monetary Fund

MIKE WOODFORD, Princeton University and NBER

The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy

 

11:30 AM

EFBDG

MICHAEL KREMER, Harvard University and NBER

ERIC MASKIN, Princeton University

Globalization and Inequality

 

1:00 PM

EFRW

BOYAN JOVANOVIC, New York Univeristy and NBER

The Pre-Producers

 

1:00 PM

EFACR

JOSE-VICTOR RIOS-RULL, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

JAY HONG, University of Pennsylvania

Life Insurance and the Value of Wives

 

1:00 PM

EFEL

JOAO GOMES and AMIR YARON, University of Pennsylvania

LU ZHANG, University of Rochester

Investment and Returns with Financing Constraints:  Evidence using Firm Data

 

1:55 PM

EFEL

ANDREA CAGGESE, Pompeu Fabra University

Financing Constraints, Irreversibility and Investment Dynamics

 

2:00 PM

EFRW

JAN EECKHOUT, University of Pennsylvania

Is Bargaining over Prices Efficient

 

2:15 PM

EFACR

PATRICIA APPS, University of Sydney

RAY REES, Australian National University

Life Cycle Time Allocation and Saving in an Imperfect Capital Market

 

3:05 PM

EFEL

STEPHEN BOND, Oxford University

Conditional Cash Flow Sensitivities and Financing Constraints

 

3:15 PM

EFRW

JIM ALBRECHT, PIETER GAUTIER and SUSAN VROMAN,Georgetown University

Equilibrium Directed Search

 

3:15 PM

EFACR

NICHOLA FUCHS and MATTHIAS SCHUENDELN, Yale University

Precautionary Savings and Self-Selection-Evedence from the German Reunion ‘Experiment’

 

4:15 PM

EFRW

GEORGE ALESSANDRIA, Ohio State University

ALAIN DELACROIX, Purdue University

Welfare Losses From Labor Market Policies in an Open Economy and the Adoption of Policies

 

4:15 PM

EL

REFET GURKAYNAK, Federal Reserve System

Financial Intermediaries as Firms and the Business Cycle

 

 

WEDNESDAY, JULY 23

 

9:00 AM

EFCE

JESUS VILLAVERDE, University of Pennsylvania

ALEH TSYVINSKI, University of Minnesota

Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model without Commitment

 

9:00 AM

EFBDG

MATTHIAS DOEPKE, UC, Los Angeles

FABRIZIO ZILIBOTTI, University College London

Voting with Your Children: A Positive Analysis of Child Labor Laws

 

9:00 AM

PRIO

MANUEL AMADOR, MIT

AUGUSTIN LANDIER, University of Chicago

Entrepreneurial Pressure and Innovation

 

10:00 AM

PRIO

PAUL GOMPERS and JOSH LERNER, Harvard University and NBER

DAVID SCHARFSTEIN, MIT and NBER

Entrepreneurial Spawning:  Public Corporation and the Genesis of New Ventures, 1986-1999

 

10:15 AM

EFCE

STEFANIA ALBANESI, Duke University

CHRIS SLEET, University of Iowa

Dynamic Optimal Taxasion with Private Infomation

 

10:15 AM

EFBDG

RAQUEL FERNANDEZ, New York University and NBER

ALESSANDRA FOGLI, New York University

CLAUDIA. OLIVETTI, Boston University

Marrying your Mom: Preference Transmission and Women’s Labor and Education Decisions: Part II

 

11:15 AM

PRIO

JANET BERCOVITZ, Duke University

MARYANN FELDMAN, Johns Hopkins University

Technology Transfer and the Academic Department:  Who Participates and Why?

 

11:30 AM

EFCE

S. BORAGAN ARUOBA, University of Pennsylvania

CHRISTOPHER WALLER, University of Kentucky

RANDY WRIGHT, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

Search, Money and Capital

 

11:30 AM

EFBDG

GILLES SAINT-PAUL, University of Toulouse

On Market Forces and Human Evolution

 

1:00 PM

EFRW

KENNETH BURDETT, University of Pennsylvania

RYOICHI IMAI, Kyushu University

RANDALL WRIGHT, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

Unstable Relationships

 

1:00 PM

EFACR

MICHAEL PRIES, University of Maryland

RICHARD ROGERSON, Arizona State University and NBER

Search Durations and Labor Market Participation

 

1:00 PM

EFEL

JOSEPH PEEK, University of Kentucky

ERIC ROSENGREN, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

Unnatural Selection: Perverse Incentives and the Misallocation of Credit in Japan

 

1:00 PM

PRIO

PASCAL COURTY, London Business School

GERALD MARSCHKE, SUNY Albany

Dynamics of Performance Measurement Systems

 

1:55 PM

EFEL

CHRISTA BOUWMAN, ANJAN THAKOR, and TONI WHITED, University of Michigan

Disagreement, Animal Sprits and Investment

 

2:00 PM

EFRW

MICHELLE ALEXOPOULIS, University of Toronto

Wealth, Reservation Wages and Labor Market Transitions in the US: Evidence from the Survey of Income and Program Participation

 

2:00 PM

PRIO

SHARON NOVAK, Northwestern University

SCOTT STERN, Northwestern University and NBER

Complementarity among Vertical Integration Decisions:  Evidence from Automobile Product Development

 

2:15 PM

EFACR

FILIPPO ALTISSIMO, European Central Bank

PAOLO ZAFFARONI, Banca d'Italia

Towards Understanding the Relationship Between Aggregate Fluctuations and Individual Heterogeneity

 

3:03 PM

EFEL

ROBERT CHIRINKO, Emory University

HUNTLEY SCHALLER, Carleton University

Glamour vs. Value: The Real Story

 

3:15 PM

EFRW

LINDA WONG, University of Chicago

An Empirical Study of Darwin’s Theory of Mate Choice

 

3:15 PM

EFACR

JONATHAN HEATHCOTE, Georgetown University

KJETIL STORESLETTEN, University of Oslo

GIOVANNI VIOLANTE, New York University

The Macroeconomic Implications of Rising Wage Inequality in the US

 

4:15 PM

EFRW

MICHAEL PRIES, University of Maryland

RICHARD ROGERSON, Arizona State University and NBER

Search Durations and Labor Market Participation

 

4:15 PM

EFEL

ROBERT HALL, Stanford University and NBER

Dynamics of Corporate Earnings

 

 

THURSDAY, JULY 24

 

9:00 AM

EFCE

JORDI GALI, CREI and NBER

D. LÓPEZ-SALIDO and JAVIER VALLÉS, Bank of Spain

Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and the Design of Interest Rate Rules

 

9:00 AM

EFBDG

DARON ACEMOGLU, MIT and NBER

PHILIPPE AGHION, Harvard University

FABRIZIO ZILIBOTTI, University College London

Appropriate Labor Market Institutions

 

9:00 AM

PRBB

LEONARD NAKAMURA, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

The Rise in Gross Private Investment in Intangible Assets Since 1978

 

10:15 AM

EFCE

CHRIS EDMOND, UC, Los Angeles

LEE OHANIAN, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

To Be Announced

 

10:15 AM

EFBDG

PHILIPPE AGHION, Harvard University

PETER HOWITT, Brown University

DAVID MAYER-FOULKES,

The Role of Credit Constraints in (Non) Convergence: A Schumpeterian Approach

 

10:15 AM

PRBB

JAMES A. KAHN and ROBERT RICH, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Do Business Cycles Really Have Permanent Effects? Using Growth Theory to Distinguish Trends from Cycles

 

11:30 AM

EFCE

MICHELE ALEXOPOULOS, University of Toronto

To Be Announced

 

11:30 AM

EFBDG

FRANÇOIS BOURGUIGNON, DELTA

FRANCISCO H. G. FERREIRA, The World Bank

PHILLIPPE G. LEITE, PUC-Rio

Why are Income Distributions Different?: A Comparison of Brazil and the United States

 

11:30 AM

PRBB

LOREN BRANDT, University of Toronto

SUSAN CHUN ZHU, Michigan State University

Technology Adoption and Absorption:  The Case of China

 

1:00 PM

EFRW

LARRY JONES, University of Minnesota and NBER

RODOLFO MANUELLI, University of Wisconsin and NBER

ELLEN MCGRATTAN, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and NBER

Why are Married Women Working So Much?

 

1:00 PM

EFACR

M. FATIH GUVENEN, University of Rochester

A Parsimonious Macroeconomic Model for Asset Pricing: Habit Formation or Cross-Sectional Heterogeneity?

 

1:15 PM

IO

KEN HENDRICKS, University of Texas

ROB PORTER, Northwestern University and NBER

GUOFU TAN, University of British Columbia

Bidding Rings and the Winner=s Curse:  The Case of Federal Offshore Oil and Gas Lease Auctions

 

1:30 PM

PRBB

DARON ACEMOGLU, MIT and NBER

JOSHUA LINN, MIT

Market Size in Innovation: Theory and Evidence from the Pharmaceutical Industry

 

2:00 PM

EFRW

GUEORGUI KAMBOUROV, University of Toronto

IOURRI MANOVSKI, University of Pennsylvania

Occupational Mobility and Wage Inequality

 

2:15 PM

EFACR

BRIAN PETERSON, Indiana University

Aggregate Uncertainty, Individual Uncertainty, and the Housing Market

 

2:45 PM

IO

FIONA SCOTT MORTON, Yale University and NBER

FLORIAN ZETTELMEYER, UC, Berkeley and NBER

JORGE SILVA-RISSO, UC, Los Angeles

Inventory Fluctuations and Price Discrimination: The Determinants of Price Variation in Car Retailing

 

2:45 PM

PRBB

FRANCESCO CASELLI, Harvard University and NBER

DANIEL WILSON, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Importing Technology

 

3:15 PM

EFRW

GADI BARLEVY, Northwestern University and NBER

Estimating Search Models with On-the-Job Search

 

3:15 PM

EFACR

BURCU DUYGAN, The World Bank

Analyzing Durable Goods Purchases and Idiosyncratic Income Uncertainty

 

4:00 PM

PRBB

CHANG-TAI HSIEH, Princeton University and NBER

PETER J. KLENOW, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and NBER

Relative Prices and Relative Prosperity

 

4:15 PM

EFRW

JOHANNES HORNER, Northwestern University

RACHEL NGAI, London School of Economics

CLAUDIA OLIVETTI, Boston University

Public Enterprises and Labor Market Performance

 

4:15 PM

IO

JULIE MORTIMER, Harvard University

Price Discrimination and Copyright Law:  Evidence from the Introduction of DVDs

 

 

FRIDAY, JULY 25

 

9:00 AM

EFCE

SUSANTO BASU and MILES KIMBALL, University of Michigan and NBER

Investment Planning Costs and the Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy

 

9:00 AM

EFBDG

WILLIAM EASTERLY, New York Univeristy

The Racial Tipping Point in American Neighborhoods: Unstable Equilibrium or Urban Legend?

 

9:00 AM

IO

AMY FINKELSTEIN, Harvard University and NBER

KATHLEEN MCGARRY, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

Re-examining the Test for Asymmetric Information in Insurance Markets:  New Evidence from Long-Term Care Insurance

 

9:00 AM

PRpre

DALE JORGENSON, Harvard University

STEVE LANDEFELD, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Blueprint for An Expanded and Integrated Set of Account for the United States

 

KAREN WILSON, Statistics Canada

An International Perspective on Expanded and Integrated Accounts (UK, Canada and Australian experience)

 

ANN LAWSON, BRIAN MOYER, SUMIYE OKUBO and MARK PLANTING, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Integrating and Accelerating BEA’s Inter-Industry Accounts

 

BRIAN MOYER, MARSHALL REINSDORF and ROBERT YUSKAVAGE, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Aggregation Issues in Integrating and Accelerating BEA’s accounts

 

ERIC BARTELSMAN, Free University

J. J. BEAULIEU, Federal Reserve Board

Integrating Inter-Industry Transactions and Gross Product Originating Estimates

 

MICHAEL HARPER, Bureau of Labor Statistics

BARBARA FRAUMENI and ROBERT YUSKAVAGE , Bureau of Economic Analysis

Integrating BEA Industry and Wealth Accounts with BLS Productivity Measures

 

PHILIP SMITH, Statistics Canada

International Experience With Integrated Productivity Accounts

 

MICHAEL PALUMBO, Federal Reserve System

BRENT MOULTON, Bureau of Economic Analysis

AL TEPLIN, CSE Analytics

Integrating the Federal Reserve Board’s  Flow of Funds and National Balance Sheets with BEA’s NIPA’s, Wealth Accounts, and Balance of Payments Accounts

 

10:15 AM

EFCE

THOMAS PHILIPPON, New York University

Corporate Governance over the Business Cycle

 

10:15 AM

EFBDG

JEFFREY LIEBMAN, Harvard University and NBER

JEFFREY KLING, Princeton University and NBER

LAWRENCE KATZ, Harvard University and NBER

What Randomized Experiments Can Teach Us About Social Interactions

 

10:30 AM

IO

THOMAS GILLIGAN, University of Southern California

Lemons and Leases in the Used Business Aircraft Market

 

11:30 AM

EFCE

R. ANTON BRAUN, University of Tokyo

ETSURO SHIOJI, Yokohama National University

Aggregate Risk in Japanese Equity Markets

 

11:30 AM

EFBDG

PATRICK BAYER, Yale University

ROBERT MCMILLAN, University of Toronto

KIM RUEBEN, Public Policy Institute of California

An Equilibrium Model of Sorting in an Urban Housing Market: A Study of the Causes and Consequences of Residential Segregation

 

1:00 PM

EFRW

ROBERT SHIMER, University of Chicago and NBER

Assignment and Unemployment

 

1:00 PM

EFACR

VINCENZO QUADRINI, New York University and NBER

Uninsurable Investment Risks

 

1:00 PM

IO

LUIS CABRAL, New York University

ALI HORTACSU, University of Chicago and NBER

The Dynamics of Seller Reputation:  Theory and Evidence from eBay

 

1:00 PM

PRpre

KATHERINE ABRAHAM, University of Maryland and NBER

Overview of Non-Market Accounting

 

WILLIAM NORDHAUS, Yale University and NBER

Knotty Issues on Non-Market Accounting 

 

FRANK GOLLOP, Boston College

Extending the Accounts to Capture Air and Water Quality

 

CHARLES HULTEN, University of Maryland and NBER

Issues in Accounting for Capital

 

RANDY BECKER, Bureau of the Census

JOHN HALTIWANGER, University of Maryland and NBER

RON JARMIN, SHAWN KLIMEK and DANIEL WILSON, Bureau of the Census

Micro and Macro Date Integration: The Case of Capital

 

ART RIDGEWAY, Statistics Canada

Canada’s Experience With Micro-Macro Integration of Financial Accounts

 

2:00 PM

EFRW

GIUSEPPE MOSCARINI, Yale University

Job-to-Job Quits and Corporate Culture

 

2:15 PM

EFACR

WENDY EDELBERG, University of Chicago

Risk-Based Pricing of Interest Rates in Consumer Loan Markets

 

2:30 PM

IO

SEVERIN BORENSTEIN, UC, Berkeley and NBER

JAMES BUSHNELL, UC, Energy Institute

CHRISTOPHER KNITTEL, UC, Davis

CATHERINE WOLFRAM, UC, Berkeley and NBER

Trading Inefficiencies in California=s Electricity Markets

 

3:15 PM

EFRW

RYOICHI IMAI, Kyushu University

Endogenous Education and Job Creation

 

3:15 PM

EFACR

EVA CARCELES-POVEDA, SUNY Stony Brook

Capital Ownership Under Market Incompleteness: Does It Matter?

 

4:00 PM

IO

MARTIN PESENDORFER, London School of Economics and NBER

PHILIPP SCHMIDT-DENGLER, Yale University

Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Games

 

4:15 PM

EFRW

SHIGERU FUJITA, UC, San Diego

The Beveridge Curve, Job Creation and the Propagation of Shocks

 

 

MONDAY, JULY 28

 

8:30 AM

LS

KEVIN LANG, Boston University and NBER

Education and Discrimination in the Labor Market

 

8:30 AM

EE

OLIVER DESCHENES, UC, Santa Barbara

MICHAEL GREENSTONE, University of Chicago and NBER

The Economic Impacts of Climate Change:  Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather

 

9:00 AM

PRCR

ANA AIZCORBE, STEPHEN OLINER and DANIEL SICHEL, Federal Reserve Board

Semiconductor Price Puzzles

 

9:45 AM

LS

ROLAND FRYER, Harvard University and NBER

STEVEN LEVITT, University of Chicago and NBER

Is Black Culture a Cause or a Consequence of Racial Inequality: An Analysis of Names

 

10:00 AM

EE

JONATHAN T. KOLSTAD, Stanford University

FRANK A. WOLAK, Stanford University and NBER

Using Environmental Emissions Permit Prices to Raise Electricity Prices: Evidence from the California Electricity Market

 

10:15 AM

PRCR

CAROL CORRADO, WENDY DUNN, and MARIA OTOO, Federal Reserve Board

Incentives and Prices for Motor Vehicles:  What Has Been Happening in Recent Years?

 

11:00 AM

LS

MARKUS MOBIUS, Harvard University and NBER

TANYA ROSENBLAT, Wesleyan College

Why Beauty Matters

 

11:30 AM

EE

JANET CURRIE, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

MATTHEW NEIDEL, University of Chicago

Air Pollution and Infant Health:  What Can We Learn From California’s Recent Experience?

 

11:30 AM

PRCR

MANUEL TRAJTENBERG, Tel Aviv University and NBER

Defense R&D in the Anti-terrorist Era

 

1:00 PM

LS

AIMEE CHIN, University of Houston

Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Japanese-American Internment During World War II on Working-Age Male Internees

 

1:00 PM

A

JOHN RUST, University of Maryland and NBER

MOSHE BUCHINSKY, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

HUGO BENITEZ-SILVA, SUNY-Stony Brook

How Large are the Classification Errors in the Social Security Disability Award Process?

 

RICHARD DISNEY, CARL EMMERSON and MATTHEW WAKEFIELD, Institute for Fiscal Studies

Ill-health and Retirement in Britain: A Panel Data-Based Analysis

 

STAN PANIS, RAND Corporation

Annuities and Retirement Satisfaction

 

1:30 PM

EE

Research sketches

 

1:30 PM

PRCR

TEAGUE RUDER and TED TO, Bureau of Labor Statistics

Hedonic Regressions with Supply and Demand Controls: An Example Using Stereo Receiver Scanner Data

 

2:15 PM

LS

JONATHAN GRUBER, MIT and NBER

Religious Market Structure, Religious Participation and Outcomes: Is Religion Good for You?

 

2:45 PM

PRCR

KARI MANNINEN, BEA and University of Helsinski

Controlling for Quality Change in Digital Cameras Price Index

 

3:00 PM

EE

DIETRICH EARNHART, University of Kansas

LUBOMIR LIZAL, CERGE-EI

Effects of Ownership and Financial Status on Corporate Environmental Performance

 

3:15 PM

LS

ELI BERMAN, Rice University and NBER

ARA STEPANYAN, Rice University

Fertility and Education in Radical Islamic Sects: Evidence from Asia and Africa

 

3:30 PM

EE

EDWARD CALTHROP, Jesus College, Oxford

BRUNO DE BORGER, University of Antwerp

STEF PROOST, Catholic University Leuven

Tax Reform for Dirty Intermediate Goods: Theory and an Application to the Taxation of Freight Transport

 

4:00 PM

EE

TRUDY ANN CAMERON, University of Oregon

J.R. DESHAZO, UC, Los Angeles

Moving Beyond the Value of a Statistical Life:  A New Theoretical and Empirical Approach

 

4:00 PM

PRCR

JAISON ABEL, Analysis Group

ERNST R. BERNDT, MIT and NBER

ALAN G. WHITE, Analysis Group

Price Indexes for PC Software

 

 

TUESDAY, JULY 29

 

8:30 AM

LS

ERZO LUTTMER, Harvard University and NBER

Do People Really Care How Much Their Neighbors Earn? The Effect of Relative Earnings on Well-Being

 

8:30 AM

EE

A. LANS BOVENBERG,  Tilburg University and CentER

LAWRENCE H. GOULDER, Stanford University and NBER

DEREK J. GURNEY, Stanford University

Efficiency Costs of Meeting Industry-Distributional Constraints under Environmental Permits and Taxes

 

8:30 AM

PERE

YONGHENG DENG and STUART GABRIEL, University of Southern California

On the Pricing and Performance of FHA-Insured Mortgages: Should Investors Prefer Underserved and High Credit Risk Borrowers?

 

9:00 AM

A

ERIK HURST, University of Chicago

Grasshoppers, Ants and Pre-Retirement Wealth:  A Test of Permanent Income Consumers

 

MIKE HURD, RAND Corporation and NBER

SUSANN ROHWEDDER, RAND Corporation

The Retirement-Consumption Puzzle:  Anticipated and Actual Declines in Spending at Retirement

 

TOM DAVIDOFF, U.C. Berkeley

Maintenance and the Home Equity of the Elderly

 

9:00 AM

PRCR

ROBERT MCGUCKIN and SEAN DOUGHERTY, Conference Board

ROBERT C. INKLAAR, University of Groningen

BART VAN ARK, Conference Board

Comparing the Cost of R&D: PPPs and Relative Cost Levels of R&D for Manufacturing Industries for Six OECD Countries

 

9:30 AM

EE

MARTIN WEITZMAN, Harvard University

Discounting a Future Whose Technology is Unknown

 

9:45 AM

LS

JONATHAN GURYAN, University of Chicago and NBER

 MELISSA S. KEARNEY, Wellesley College and NBER

State Lotteries, Decisions under Uncertainty, and Addiction

 

10:00 AM

PERE

EDWARD GLAESER, Harvard University and NBER

JOSEPH GYOURKO, University of Pennsylvania

Why Is New York City So Expensive?

 

10:15 AM

PRCR

MAURY GITTLEMAN, Bureau of Labor Statistics

THIJS TEN RAA, Tilbug University  

EDWARD N. WOLFF, New York University and NBER

The Vintage Effect in TFP Growth: An Analysis of the Age Structure of Capital

 

11:00 AM

LS

JOHN BOUND, University of Michigan and NBER

SARAH TURNER, University of Virginia and NBER

Cohort Crowding: How Resources Affect Collegiate Attainment

 

11:00 AM

CH

PATRICIA ANDERSON, Dartmouth College and NBER

KRISTEN BUTCHER, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Reading, Writing and Raisinettes: Are School Finances Contributing to Children's Obesity?

 

11:00 AM

EE

ANDREW PLANTINGA, Oregon State University

KLAAS VAN 'T VELD, University of Michigan

Carbon Sequestration or Abatement? The Effect Of Rising Carbon Prices On The Optimal Portfolio Of Greenhouse-Gas Mitigation Strategies

 

11:00 AM

PERE

STUART ROSENTHAL, Syracuse University

WILLIAM STRANGE, University of Toronto

The Urban Rat Race: Thick Markets, Signaling, and Hours Worked in Big Cities

 

11:30 AM

PRCR

FRANK C. WYKOFF, Pomona College

Obsolescence in Economic Depreciation from the Point of View of the Revaluation Term

 

1:00 PM

LS

JAMES HECKMAN, University of Chicago and NBER

LANCE LOCHNER, University of Rochester and NBER

Distinguishing Between On-the-Job Training and Learning-by-Doing

 

1:00 PM

CH

RAJEEV DEHEJIA, Columbia University and NBER

ADRIANA LLERAS-MUNEY, Princeton University and NBER

The Timing of Births: Is the Quality of Infants Counter-Cyclical?

 

1:00 PM

EE

MATTHEW KAHN, Tufts University

Domestic Pollution Havens:

Evidence from Cancer Deaths in Border Counties

 

1:00 PM

PERE

MICHAEL GREENSTONE, University of Chicago and NBER

ENRICO MORETTI, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

Bidding for Industrial Plants: Does Winning a ‘Million Dollar Plant’ Increase Welfare?

 

1:15 PM

A

JAMES POTERBA, MIT and NBER

JOSHUA RAUH, MIT

STEVEN VENTI, Dartmouth College and NBER

DAVID WISE, Harvard University and NBER

Utility Evaluation of Risk in Retirement Saving Accounts

 

DORA COSTA, MIT and NBER

JOANNA LAHEY, MIT

Becoming Oldest-Old: Evidence from Historical U.S. Data

 

DARIUS LAKDAWALLA, RAND Corporation and NBER

JAY BHATTACHARYA, Stanford University and NBER        

Does Medicare Benefit the Poor?  New Answers to an Old Question

 

1:30 PM

PRCR

DENNIS FIXLER, MARSHALL REINSDORF, and GEORGE SMITH, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Unpriced Services of Financial Intermediaries in the National Income and Product Accounts: An Alternative Approach

 

2:00 PM

CH

PAUL GERTLER, UC Berkeley and NBER

The Presence and Presents of Parents: Do Parents Matter for More Than Their Money?

 

2:00 PM

EE

CAROL MCAUSLAND, UC, Santa Barbara

Trade, Politics, and the Environment:  Tailpipe vs. Smokestack

 

2:00 PM

PERE

TOM DAVIDOFF, UC ,Berkeley

Maintenance and the Home Equity of the Elderly

 

2:15 PM

LS

DAVID BLANCHFLOWER, Dartmouth College and NBER

ALEX BRYSON, Policy Studies Institute

What Effect Do Unions Have on Wages Now and Would ‘What Do Unions Do’ Be Surprised?

 

2:45 PM

PRCR

CINDY ZOGHI, and SABRINA PABILONIA, Bureau of Labor Statistics

Which Workers Gain from Computer Use?

 

3:15 PM

LS

THOMAS LEMIEUX, University of British Columbia and NBER

Composition Effects, Wage Measurement, and the Growth in Within-Group Wage Inequality

 

3:30 PM

CH

MICHAEL KREMER, Harvard University and NBER

EDWARD MIGUEL, UC, Berkeley and NBER

Health Behavior and the Design of Public Health Programs: Evidence from Randomized Evaluations

 

3:30 PM

EE

ARIK LEVINSON, Georgetown University and NBER

M. SCOTT TAYLOR, University of Wisconsin and NBER

Trade and the Environment: Unmasking the Pollution Havens Hypothesis

 

3:30 PM

PERE

PATRICK BAYER, Yale University

FERNANDO FERREIRA, UC, Berkeley

ROBERT MCMILLAN, University of Toronto

A Unified Framework for Measuring the Preferences for School Quality

 

4:00 PM

PRCR

LUCIA FOSTER, Census Bureau

JOHN HALTIWANGER, University of Maryland and NBER

CHAD SYVERSON, University of Chicago and NBER

Reallocation, Firm Turnover and Efficiency:  Selection on Productivity or Profitability?

 

 

WEDNESDAY, JULY 30

 

9:00 AM

LS

GEORGE BORJAS, Harvard University and NBER

The Labor Demand Curve is Downward Sloping: Reexamining the Impact of Immigration on the Labor Market

 

9:00 AM

CH

TARA WATSON, Harvard University

Public Health Investments and the Infant Mortality Gap: Evidence from Federal Sanitation Interventions on U.S. Indian Reservations

 

9:00 AM

PESS

ERIK HURST, University of Chicago and NBER

PAUL WILLEN, University of Chicago

Social Security and Unsecured Debt

 

10:00 AM

CH

CRISTIAN POP-ELECHES, Harvard University

The Impact of an Abortion Ban on Socio-Economic Outcomes of Children: Evidence from Romania

10:00 AM

PESS

JEFF DOMINITZ, Carnegie Mellon University

CHARLES MANSKI, Northwestern University and NBER

JORDAN HEINZ, Northwestern University

Will Social Security Be There For You?:  How Americans Perceive Their Benefits

 

10:15 AM

LS

MADELINE ZAVODNY, Occidental College

PIA ORRENIUS, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Does Immigration Affect Wages? A Look at Occupation-Level Evidence

 

11:30 AM

LS

MICHAEL GREENSTONE, University of Chicago and NBER

ENRICO MORETTI, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

Bidding for Industrial Plants: Does Winning a ‘Million Dollar Plant’ Increase Welfare

 

11:30 AM

CH

DAVID FIGLIO, University of Florida and NBER

CECELIA ROUSE, Princeton University and NBER

Did Florida’s A+ Plan for Education Improve Low-Performing Schools?

 

11:30 AM

PESS

B. DOUGLAS BERNHEIM and ANTONIO RANGEL, Stanford University and NBER

Emotions, Cognition, and Savings: Theory and Policy

 

1:30 PM

LS/CH

PHILIP OREOPOLOUS, University of Toronto

Do Dropouts Drop Out Too Soon?  Evidence from Changes in School-Leaving Laws

 

1:30 PM

PESS

MIKHAIL GOLOSOV and ALEH TSYVINSKI, University of Minnesota

Designing Optimal Disability Insurance

 

2:30 PM

LS/CH

JEFFREY KLING, Princeton University and NBER

JEFFREY LIEBMAN, Harvard University and NBER

The Effect of High Poverty Neighborhoods on Child and Youth Human Capital Accumulation

 

3:00 PM

PESS

JONATHAN GRUBER, MIT and NBER

JEFFREY KUBIK, Syracuse University

Health Insurance Coverage and the Disability Insurance Application Decision

 

4:00 PM

LS/CH

PATRICK BAYER, Yale University

Building Criminal Capital Behind Bars: Social Learning in Juvenile Corrections

 

4:00 PM

PESS

Roundtable Discussion

Issues Facing the Social Security Advisory Board 2003 Technical Panel

 

 

THURSDAY, JULY 31

 

9:00 AM

LS

GREG DUNCAN, Northwestern University

JOHANNE BOISJOLY, University of Quebec

DAN LEVY, Mathematica Policy Research

MICHAEL KREMER, Harvard University and NBER

JACQUE ECCLES, University of Michigan

Empathy or Antipathy?  The Consequences of Racially and Socially Diverse Peers on Attitudes and Behaviors

 

9:00 AM

PET

JEFFREY LIEBMAN and RICHARD ZECKHAUSER, Harvard University and NBER

Schmeduling

 

9:00 AM

HE

JONATHAN KLICK, George Mason University

SARA MARKOWITZ, Rutgers University at Newark and NBER

Are Mental Health Parity Laws Effective?  Evidence from Suicide

 

9:00 AM

PRHA

RICHARD G. FRANK, Harvard University and NBER

ERNST R. BERNDT, MIT and NBER

ALISA BUSCH, Harvard University

ANTHONY LEHMAN, University of Maryland

Price Indexes for the Ongoing Treatment of Schizophrenia

 

10:00 AM

LS

ERIC GOULD, VICTOR LAVY, and DANIELE PASERMAN, Hebrew University

The Effect of Early School Environment on Young Adults' Educational Outcomes:  A Natural Experiment Using Ethiopian Immigration to Israel in the Early 1990s

 

10:05 AM

PRHA

JASON BARRO and ROBERT HUCKMAN, Harvard University and NBER

The July Effect:  Labor Turnover and Productivity in Teaching Hospitals

 

10:15 AM

HE

JEFFREY KLING, Princeton University and NBER

JEFFREY LIEBMAN, Harvard University and NBER

LARRY KATZ, Harvard University and NBER

LISA SANBONMATSU, Harvard University

Is Living in a High Poverty Neighborhood Bad for Your Health?

 

10:30 AM

PET

AUSTAN GOOLSBEE, University of Chicago and NBER

JOEL SLEMROD, University of Michigan and NBER

The Rise of Tax Competition from the Internet: The Case of Cigarette Taxes

 

11:10 AM

PRHA

MICHAEL KREMER, Harvard University and NBER

CHRISTOPHER M. SNYDER, George Washington University

Why Are Drugs More Profitable than Vaccines?

 

11:30 AM

LS

BRIDGET LONG, Harvard University and NBER

ERIC BETTINGER, Case Western Reserve University and NBER

The Effects of Adjunct Professors on Student Outcomes

 

11:30 AM

HE

WILLIAM H. DOW, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and NBER

KRISTY GONZALEZ, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

LUIS ROSERO-BIXBY, University of Costa Rica

Aggregation and Insurance-Mortality Estimation

 

12:45 PM

PPL

ARNGRIM HUNNES, JARLE MØEN, and KJELL GUNNAR SALVANES, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration

Ports of Entry: The Norwegian Case

 

1:00 PM

PRHA

TOMAS PHILIPSON, Chicago, Food and Drug Administration and NBER

Reflections from an Economist at the Food and Drug Administration

 

1:30 PM

LS

THOMAS KANE, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

STEPHANIE RIEGG, UC, Los Angeles

DOUGLAS STAIGER, Dartmouth College and NBER

Changing School Assignments and Housing Values

 

1:30 PM

PET

GLENN ELLISON, MIT and NBER

SARA FISHER ELLISON, MIT

Tax Sensitivity and Home State Preferences in Internet Purchasing

 

1:30 PM

HE

EDWARD MIGUEL, UC, Berkeley and NBER

MICHAEL KREMER, Harvard University and NBER

Health Behavior and the Design of Public Health Programs: Evidence from Randomized Evaluations

 

1:30 PM

PRHA

SEAN NICHOLSON, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

ANDREW EPSTEIN, University of Pennsylvania

Physician Learning and Best Practice Adoption:  An Application to Cesarian Sections

 

2:30 PM

LS

JANET CURRIE, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

MATTHEW NEIDELL, University of Chicago

Getting Inside the Black Box of Head Start Quality:  What Matters and What Doesn't

 

2:30 PM

PPL

KEVIN STIROH, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Playing for Keeps: Pay and Performance in the NBA

 

2:35 PM

PRHA

CHUNLING LU, Harvard University

RICHARD FRANK, Harvard University and NBER

TOM MCGUIRE, Harvard University

The Responsiveness of Mental Health Care Utilization to Price Change Under Managed Care Plans

 

2:45 PM

PET

MIHIR DESAI, Harvard University and NBER

ALEXANDER DYCK, Harvard University

LUIGI ZINGALES, University of Chicago and NBER

Corporate Governance and Taxation

 

2:45 PM

HE

SHERRY GLIED, Columbia University and NBER

ADRIANA LLERAS-MUNEY, Princeton University and NBER

Health Inequality, Education and Medical Innovation

 

3:15 PM

PPL

MARTHA STINSON, Bureau of the Census

Estimating the Relationship between Employer-Provided Health Insurance, Worker Mobility, and Wages

 

3:40 PM

PRHA

TOM BUCHMUELLER, UC, Irvine and NBER

MEREILLE JACOBSON, UC Irvine

How far to the Doctor?  The Effect of Hospital Closures on Access to Care

 

4:00 PM

LS

JOSHUA ANGRIST, MIT and NBER

JONATHAN GURYAN, University of Chicago and NBER

Does Teacher Testing Raise Teacher Quality? Evidence from State Certification Requirements

 

4:00 PM

HE

CHRISTOPHER J. RUHM, University of North Carolina at Greensboro and NBER

Healthy Living in Hard Times

 

4:15 PM

PPL

TOR ERIKSSON, Aarhus School of Business

AXEL WERWATZ, Humboldt University, Berlin

The Prevalence of Internal Labour Markets B New Evidence from Panel Data

 

 

FRIDAY, AUGUST 1

 

8:30 AM

LS

BRUCE FALLICK and CHARLES FLEISCHMAN, Federal Reserve Board

JAMES REBITZER, Case Western Reserve University and NBER

Inter-Firm Mobility, Knowledge Spillovers, and Innovation in High Tech Clusters

 

9:00 AM

HC

JONATHAN GRUBER, MIT and NBER

EBONYA WASHINGTON, MIT

Subsidies to Employee Health Insurance Premiums and the Health Insurance Market

 

9:30 AM

LS

EDWARD LAZEAR, Stanford University and NBER

Firm-Specific Human Capital: A Skill-Weights Approach

 

10:05 AM

HC

STEPHEN T. PARENTE, ROGER FELDMAN and JON B. CHRISTIANSON, University of Minnesota

The Effect of Defined Contribution Plans on Health Insurance Choice and Medical Care Use

 

10:15 AM

LS

GEORGE BAKER and NANCY BEAULIEU, Harvard University and NBER

Wage Policies and Investments in Firm-Specific Human Capital

 

11:10 AM

HC

RUSTY TCHERNIS, Harvard University

JOSEPH P.  NEWHOUSE, Harvard University and NBER

SHARON-LISE T. NORMAND, PETER GACCIONE, and JULIANA PAKES, Harvard University

Health and Health Insurance: Analysis of Plan Switching Behavior

 

11:30 AM

LS

SIMON WOODCOCK, Bureau of the Census

Agent Heterogeneity and Learning: An Application to Labor Markets

 

1:00 PM

LE

KATHRYN SPIER, Northwestern University and NBER

BRUCE HAY, Harvard University

Manufacturer Liability for Product Injuries to Nonconsumers

 

1:15 PM

LS

JOHN ABOWD, Cornell University and NBER

PAUL LENGERMANN, Federal Reserve Board

KEVIN McKINNEY, Bureau of the Census

The Measurement of Human Capital in the US Economy

 

2:00 PM

LS

JED DEVARO, Cornell University

Internal Promotion Competitions in Firms

 

2:00 PM

LE

ANDREW DAUGHETY and JENNIFER REINGANUM, Vanderbilt University

Markets, Torts, and Social Inefficiency

 

2:45 PM

LE

A. MITCHELL POLINSKY, Stanford University and NBER

DANIEL RUBINFELD, UC, Berkeley

Remedies for Price Overcharges: Is Cash Necessarily Better than Coupons or Discounts?

 

3:15 PM

LS

MICHAEL GIBBS and KATHRYN IERULLI, University of Chicago

EVA MEYERSSON MILGROM, Stanford University

Title T.B.D.

 

3:45 PM

LE

RONALD GILSON, Stanford University

ALAN SCHWARTZ, Yale University

Understanding MACs and MAEs

 

4:30 PM

LE

EZRA FRIEDMAN, Yale University

ABRAHAM WICKELGREN, Federal Trade Commission

Chilling, Settlement, and the Accuracy of the Legal System

 

 

SATURDAY, AUGUST 2

 

8:45 AM

LE

DANIEL KLERMAN, University of Southern California

PAUL MAHONEY, University of Virginia

The Value of Judicial Independence

 

9:45 AM

LE

JONI HERSCH, Harvard University

Jury Demands and Trials

 

10:30 AM

LE

FELIX OBERHOLZER-GEE, University of Pennsylvania

MIKI MITSUNARI, Fuji Research Institute Corporation

Information Regulation: Do Victims of Externalities Pay Attention?

 

11:30 AM

LE

DANIEL LEVY, Bar-Ilan University

BENJAMIN ZELIGER, Cornell University

PAUL RUBIN, Emory University

SOURAV RAY, Concordia University

MARK BERGEN, University of Chicago

On the Inefficiency of Item Pricing Laws

 

 

MONDAY, AUGUST 4

 

9:00 AM

CF

SARA MOELLER, Southern Methodist University

FREDERIK SCHLINGEMANN, University of Pittsburgh

RENE STULZ, Ohio State University and NBER

Wealth Destruction on a Massive Scale: A Study of Acquiring-firm Returns in the Merger Wave of the 1990s

 

9:30 AM

ITI

JAMES TYBOUT, Pennsylvania State University and NBER

ERKAN ERDEM, Pennsylvania State University

Trade Policy and Patterns of Industrial Evolution: A Dynamic Structural Model

 

9:50 AM

CF

LUCIAN ARYE BEBCHUK, Harvard University and NBER

JOHN COATES IV and GUHAN SUBRAMANIAN, Harvard University

The Effect of Takeover Defenses

 

11:00 AM

ITI

J. PETER NEARY, University College Dublin

Cross-Border Mergers as Instruments of Comparative Advantage

 

11:10 AM

CF

ANDREA EISFELDT and ADRIANO RAMPINI, Northwestern University

Capital Reallocation and Liquidity

 

1:00 PM

ITI

ROBERT FEENSTRA, UC, Davis and NBER

GORDON HANSON, UC, San Diego and NBER

Ownership and Control in Outsourcing to China Exports versus FDI

 

2:30 PM

ITI

POL ANTRAS, MIT and NBER

Incomplete Contracts and the Product Cycle

 

3:00 PM

CF

JIE GAN, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Collateral Channel and Investment:  Evidence from the Land-Price Collapse in Japan

 

3:50 PM

CF

ALEXANDER DYCK, Harvard University

LUIGI ZINGALES, University of Chicago and NBER

The Media and Asset Prices

 

 

TUESDAY, AUGUST 5

 

9:00 AM

CF

MICHAEL FAULKENDER, Washington University in St. Louis

MITCHELL PETERSEN, Northwestern University and NBER          

Does the Source of Capital affect Capital Structure?

 

9:30 AM

ITI

ROBERT ANDERTON, European Central Bank

RICHARD BALDWIN, Graduate Institute for International Studies and NBER

DARIA TAGLIONI, Graduate Institute for International Studies

The Impact of Monetary Union on Trade Prices

 

9:50 AM

CF

AUGUSTIN LANDIER, University of Chicago

DAVID THESMAR, ENSAE and CREST

Financial Contracting with Optimistic Entrepreneurs:  Theory and Evidence

 

11:00 AM

ITI

JOHN ROMALIS, University of Chicago and NBER

CHRISTIAN BRODA, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Identifying the Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Trade

 

11:10 AM

CF

ESLYN JEAN-BAPTISTE and MICHAEL RIORDAN, Columbia University

Capital Markets Constrain Industry Scale

 

1:00 PM

ITI

VINCENT DUPONT, University of Lille 1

PHILIPPE MARTIN, University of Paris 1

Regional Policies and Inequalities:  Are Subsidies Good For You?

 

1:00 PM

CF

HEITOR ALMEIDA, New York University

MURILLO CAMPELLO, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Financial Constraints, Asset Tangibility, and Corporate Investment

 

2:20 PM

CF

ALEXANDER LJUNGQVIST, New York University

FELICIA MARSTON and WILLIAM WILHELM, JR., University of Virginia

Competing for Securities Underwriting Mandates: Banking Relationships and Analyst Recommendations

 

2:30 PM

ITI

RIKARD FORSLID, Stockholm University

Regional Policy, Integration and the Location of Industry

 

3:10 PM

CF

HARRISON HONG, Stanford University

JEREMY C. STEIN, Harvard University and NBER

Simple Forecasts and Paradigm Shifts

 

 

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 6

 

9:30 AM

ITI

DOUGLAS IRWIN, Dartmouth College and NBER

The Welfare Cost of Autarky:  Evidence from the Jeffersonian Trade Embargo, 1807-1809

and

Trade Disruptions and America’s Early Industrialization

 

11:00 AM

ITI

NUNO LIMÃO, University of Maryland

Preferential Agreements as Stumbling Blocks for Multilateral Trade  Liberalization: Empirical Estimates for the U.S.

 

1:00 PM

ITI

RAYMOND ROBERTSON, Macalester College

Did NAFTA Increase Labor Market Integration between the United States and Mexico?

 

2:30 PM

ITI

DAVID HUMMELS, Purdue University and NBER

ALEXANDRE SKIBA, Purdue University

Shipping the Good Apples Out?  An Empirical Confirmation of the Alchian-Allen Conjecture

 

 

THURSDAY, AUGUST 7

 

9:30 AM

ITI

GIOVANNI PERI, UC, Davis

Knowledge Flows, R&D Spillovers and Innovation

 

11:00 AM

ITI

MARY AMITI and LISA CAMERON, University of Melbourne

Industrial Location and Wages in a Developing Country: The Case of Indonesia

 

1:15 PM

ITI/CRIW

SUSAN FEINBERG, University of Maryland

MICHAEL KEANE, Yale University

Accounting for the Growth of MNC-Based Trade using a Structural Model of U.S. MNCs

 

2:45 PM

ITI/CRIW

JONATHAN EATON, New York University and NBER

SAMUEL KORTUM, University of Minnesota and NBER

FRANCIS KRAMARZ, INSEE, France

An Anatomy of International Trade: Evidence from French Firms

 

4:00 PM

ITI/CRIW

MARK AGUIAR and GITA GOPINATH, University of Chicago

JOHN ROMALIS, University of Chicago and NBER

Cross-Border Ownership, Liquidity and Technology Transfer

 

 

FRIDAY, AUGUST 8

 

9:00 AM

ITI/CRIW

GORDON HANSON, UC, San Diego and NBER

RAYMOND MATALONI, JR., Bureau of Economic Analysis

MATTHEW SLAUGHTER, Dartmouth College and NBER

Expansion Abroad and the Domestic Operations of U.S. Multinational Firms

 

10:15 AM

ITI/CRIW

MARIA BORGA and WILLIAM ZEILE, Bureau of Economic Analysis

International Fragmentation of Production and the Intrafirm Trade of U.S. Multinational Companies

 

11:15 AM

ITI/CRIW

MARIA BORGA, Bureau of Economic Analysis

ROBERT LIPSEY, Queens College and NBER

Factor Prices and Factor Substitution in U.S. Multinationals