NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

Conference on
G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment

Richard Clarida, Organizer

June 1-2, 2005

Hotel Viking
One Bellevue Avenue
Newport, Rhode Island

PROGRAM



TUESDAY, MAY 31:

6:30 p.m. Reception and Dinner
Hotel Viking

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 1:

7:30 a.m. Continental Breakfast

8:00 a.m. RICHARD CLARIDA, Columbia University and NBER
MANUELA GORETTI and MARK TAYLOR, University of Warwick
Are There Thresholds of Current Account Adjustment in the G7?

Discussant: ROBERT CUMBY, Georgetown University and NBER

8:45 a.m. PIERRE-OLIVIER GOURINCHAS, UC, Berkeley and NBER
HELENE REY, Princeton University and NBER
From World Banker to World Venture Capitalist: The US External Adjustment and the Exorbitant Privilege

Discussant: JOSE DE GREGORIO, Central Bank of Chile

9:30 a.m. Break

10:00 a.m. PHILIP LANE, Trinity College Dublin
GIAN MARIA MILESI-FERRETTI, International Monetary Fund
A Global Perspective on External Positions

Discussant: RICHARD PORTES, London Business School and NBER

10:45 a.m. HAMID FARUQEE and DOUGLAS LAXTON, International Monetary Fund
DIRK MUIR, Norges Bank
PAOLO PESENTI, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER
Current Accounts and Global Rebalancing in a Multi-Country Simulation Model

Discussant: LARS SVENSSON, Princeton University and NBER

11:30 a.m. AART KRAAY, World Bank
JAUME VENTURA, CREI, Universitat Pompeu Fabra and NBER
The Emergence and Transformation of the US Current Account Deficit

Discussant: JOSEPH GAGNON, Federal Reserve Board

12:15 p.m. Lunch

1:30 p.m. MICHAEL DOOLEY, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER
DAVID FOLKERTS-LANDAU, Deutsche Bank
PETER GARBER, Brown University and NBER
Direct Investment, Rising Real Wages and the Absorption of Excess Labor in
the Periphery

Discussant: SHANG-JIN WEI, IMF and NBER

2:15 p.m. MENZIE CHINN, University of Wisconsin and NBER
JEFFREY FRANKEL, Harvard University and NBER
Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International
Reserve Currency?

Discussant: EDWIN TRUMAN, Institute for International Economics

3:00 p.m. Adjourn

5:15 p.m. Meet in hotel lobby for transportation to Schooner Aurora for Sunset Sail

5:30 p.m. Sunset Sail on the Schooner Aurora

7:30 p.m. Dinner at Newport Regatta Club Gazebo

THURSDAY, JUNE 2:

7:30 a.m. Continental Breakfast

8:00 a.m. MAURICE OBSTFELD, UC, Berkeley and NBER
KENNETH ROGOFF, Harvard University and NBER
The Unsustainable US Current Account Position Revisited

Discussant: KRISTIN FORBES, MIT and NBER

8:45 a.m. MUGE ADALET, Victoria University, Wellington
BARRY EICHENGREEN, UC, Berkeley and NBER
Current Account Reversals: Always a Problem?

Discussant: FREDERIC MISHKIN, Columbia University and NBER

9:30 a.m. Break

10:00 a.m. CATHERINE MANN and KATHARINA PLUECK, Institute for International Economics
The US Trade Deficit: A Disaggregated Perspective

Discussant: PETER KENEN, Princeton University

10:45 a.m. CAROLINE FREUND, World Bank
FRANK WARNOCK, University of Virginia
Current Account Deficits in Industrial Countries: The Bigger They Are, The Harder They Fall?

Discussant: ASSAF RAZIN, Tel Aviv University and NBER

11:30 a.m. Lunch and Adjourn



5/25/05