Reviews various inflation forecasts, finding that Paul Ryan's fears of "debasement of the currency" are extreme.
Presents data on the incidence of love around the world.
Assesses the role of love in economic life
Reviews a recent study by Hoxby and Avery, showing that smart working class kids aren't applying to good colleges.
Argues for fundamental tax reform.
Highlights the accuracy of my election forecasts based on asking people who they think would win, rather than standard polling questions.
Calculates the distributional consequences of Romney's tax platform
Describes changes in American family life over recent decades.
Notes that bond markets tend to react to the election of Republicans with higher bond yields.
Points out that Romney's revenue-neutral plan to broaden the tax base and lower rates is not a tax cut, on net.
Provides evidence that yes, the economy is better than it was four years ago.
Makes the case that economics is in the midst of an empirical revolution, driven by new data sources and computing power.
Shows that there exists a consensus among mainstream economists on many important policy topics
Argues that Fed credibility has been undermined by persistently undershootings its inflation target
Argues that Title IX has fundamentally transformed sports opportunities for girls, with far-reaching social and economic consequences
Argues that existing estimates of the deterrent effect of the death penalty are uninformative.
Compiles evidence on just how costly the recent debt ceiling impasse was.
Describes changing generational attitudes to same-sex marriage as reflecting changes in marriage itself.
Describes how work-sharing can help reduce unemployment.
Argues that tax expenditures should be replaced with explicit subsidies.
Argues policy should be set with an eye to the range of likely forecast errors.
Summarizes research showing the effectiveness of the Tea Party movement.
Describes the implications of different types of Fed forward guidance
New York Times
New York Times Magazine, May 10, 2012
I was the guest ethicist in the NYT magazine's The Ethicist column.
New York Times, June 15, 2010/p>
Provides an assessment of the evidence regarding consequences of no-fault divorce laws.
New York Times, June 4, 2010
Provides useful data on divorce among the elderly.
New York Times, February 21, 2010
Analyzes changing marriage patterns, by education.
New York Times, July 5, 2009
Describes the changing nature of modern marriages.
New York Times, April 8, 2009
Discusses the link between economic and marital instability.
New York Times, September 29, 2007
Exposes the myth that divorce is rising. In fact, it's falling.
(Produced by American Public Media and broadcast on National Public Radio)
Marketplace, May 6, 2010.
Discusses the relationship between parenthood and happiness.
Listen to commentary (mp3)
An economic perspective on marriage
Watchington Post, April 5, 2013. Explains five myths about the minimum wage: 1. That it covers everyone; 2. That it stays constant if Congress doesn't change it; 3. That it raises unemployment; 4. That it is a partisan issue; and 5. That it wouldn't help the poor.
Watchington Post, April 5, 2013.
Explains five myths about the minimum wage: 1. That it covers everyone; 2. That it stays constant if Congress doesn't change it; 3. That it raises unemployment; 4. That it is a partisan issue; and 5. That it wouldn't help the poor.