Department of Economics
270 Bay State Road
Boston, MA 02215
Institutional Affiliation: Boston University
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|May 2020||Marginal Net Taxation of Americans’ Labor Supply|
with David Altig, Alan J. Auerbach, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Elias Ilin: w27164
The U.S. has a plethora of federal and state tax and benefit programs, each with its own work incentives and disincentives. This paper uses the Fiscal Analyzer (TFA) to assess how these policies, in unison, impact work incentives. TFA is a life-cycle, consumption-smoothing program that incorporates household borrowing constraints and all major federal and state fiscal policies. We use TFA in conjunction with the 2016 Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances to calculate Americans’ remaining lifetime marginal net tax rates. Our findings are striking. One in four low-wage workers face marginal net tax rates above 70 percent, effectively locking them into poverty. Over half face remaining lifetime marginal net tax rates above 45 percent. The richest 1 percent also face a high median lifeti...
|April 2019||Did the 2017 Tax Reform Discriminate against Blue State Voters?|
with David Altig, Alan J. Auerbach, Patrick C. Higgins, Darryl R. Koehler, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Michael Leiseca, Ellyn Terry: w25770
The Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) made significant changes to corporate and personal federal income taxation, including limiting the SALT (state and local property, income and sales taxes) deductibility to $10,000. States with high SALT tend to vote Democratic. This paper estimates the differential effect of the TCJA on red- and blue-state taxpayers and investigates the importance of the SALT limitation to this differential. We calculate the effect of permanent implementation of the TCJA on households using The Fiscal Analyzer: a life-cycle, consumption-smoothing program incorporating all major federal and state fiscal policies. We find that the average percentage increase in remaining lifetime spending under the TCJA is 1.6 percent in red states versus 1.3 percent in blue states. Am...