NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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Rocio Madera

Department of Economics
Southern Methodist University
3300 Dyer St.
Umphrey Lee 301
Dallas, TX 75275

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Institutional Affiliation: Southern Methodist University

NBER Working Papers and Publications

May 2018Asymmetric Business-Cycle Risk and Social Insurance
with Christopher Busch, David Domeij, Fatih Guvenen: w24569
This paper studies the business-cycle variation in higher-order (labor) income riskā€”that is, risks that are captured by moments higher than the variance. We examine the extent to which such risks can be smoothed within households or with government social insurance and tax policies. We use panel data from three countries that differ in many aspects relevant for our analysis: the United States, Germany, and Sweden. Our analysis has three main results. First, using individual gross income, we document that skewness is procyclical and dispersion (variance) is flat and acyclical in Germany and Sweden, as was previously documented for the United States. The same patterns hold true for groups defined by education, gender, public- versus private-sector jobs, among others. Second, household-level ...
 
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